Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13dee7a794cde7ee3626abd7c52536132be0a4c0fd42e48d35914346a18d7969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandrovaof Alexandrova, Eala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Eala | 30c | 443.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alexandrova | 74c | 381.32$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Alexandrova | 52c | 296.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Eala | 48c | 288.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…3ee4backed Eala | 35c | 211.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Alexandrova | 58c | 173.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Eala | 33c | 121.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Eala | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Eala | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Eala | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…679dbacked Alexandrova | 65c | 84.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Eala | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Eala | 48c | 74.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Eala | 48c | 70.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alexandrova | 53c | 68.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Eala | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…c90bbacked Alexandrova | 65c | 65.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc63…2573backed Alexandrova | 65c | 60.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Alexandrova | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Alexandrova | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Eala | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Eala | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Eala | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Alexandrova | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Alexandrova | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Alexandrova | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Alexandrova | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Alexandrova | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Eala | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Alexandrova | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Alexandrova | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Eala | 43c | 26.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Alexandrova | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Alexandrova | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Alexandrova | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Alexandrova | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)this page
- Eala vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Eala vs. Alexandrova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova won
- Set 1 Winner: Eala vs AlexandrovaAlexandrova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.