Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Harvard Crimson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a456e7bc5d00436c51899f851f5837781793be07b05df348ca66a05e53ef885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dartmouth Big Greenof Dartmouth Big Green, Harvard Crimson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Harvard Crimson | 55c | 2,666$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.16 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 1,471$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Dartmouth Big Green | 45c | 1,378$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.9 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Dartmouth Big Green | 78c | 1,349$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Harvard Crimson | 22c | 1,211$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.18 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Harvard Crimson | 51c | 1,166$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.7 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dartmouth Big Green | 27c | 1,063$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.02 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Harvard Crimson | 73c | 847.27$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 45c | 575.04$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.75 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Harvard Crimson | 63c | 515.03$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.21 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Harvard Crimson | 68c | 400.09$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.09 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Harvard Crimson | 61c | 337.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 53c | 329.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Dartmouth Big Green | 28c | 295.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.04 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Harvard Crimson | 64c | 274.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Dartmouth Big Green | 37c | 267.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Harvard Crimson | 5c | 252.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Harvard Crimson | 32c | 158.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Harvard Crimson | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Harvard Crimson | 74c | 133$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Harvard Crimson | 71c | 127$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Harvard Crimson | 73c | 101.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Harvard Crimson | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Harvard Crimson | 22c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 27c | 80.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Harvard Crimson | 65c | 58.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 48.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Dartmouth Big Green | 27c | 47.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Dartmouth Big Green | 26c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Harvard Crimson | 43c | 43.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Dartmouth Big Green | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Harvard Crimson | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Dartmouth Big Green | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 29.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Harvard Crimsonthis page
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Harvard Crimson: O/U 145.5Under won
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Harvard Crimson: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Harvard Crimson (-7.5)Dartmouth Big Green won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.