NHL · resolved market
AHL: Bridgeport Islanders vs. Lehigh Valley Phantoms
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfdbbaa7a9afccaa11375a890f5e22999206d2f7a5d7fa691564e7e11d1a13e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bridgeport Islandersof Bridgeport Islanders, Lehigh Valley Phantoms
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 135$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 119$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 56c | 29.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.