Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1a8d1d9df4e38f7e800166cee94bb27dbc5b81b34d1396a1a008bcb3e378c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 3,159$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 2,703$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.22 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Yes | 26c | 1,930$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 5c | 916$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 76c | 712$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 421.8$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 403.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 38c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 276$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 23c | 248$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 76c | 208$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 74c | 200.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 161.81$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 157.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes | 23c | 156.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 29c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 74c | 112.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 105.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 70c | 101$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed No | 76c | 87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 22c | 67.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 77c | 60.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…493dbacked Yes | 24c | 54.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Yes | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 76c | 45.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 76c | 43.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 76c | 35.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 75c | 28.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 76c | 16.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.