Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x526dd3a6fa1a309cdb2ebac3ac46c1a5109c3de890b9e1cd51c8f81bade83da5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanford Cardinalof Stanford Cardinal, Virginia Tech Hokies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal | 12c | 2,494$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.27 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 7c | 2,021$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.87 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 76c | 1,380$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 1,226$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.38 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Stanford Cardinal | 26c | 1,221$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.53 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 68c | 969.51$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.42 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 61c | 882.22$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 757.09$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.16 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 756.4$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 658$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.6 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 12c | 446$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 32c | 343.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Stanford Cardinal | 7c | 334$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.62 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stanford Cardinal | 11c | 315.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stanford Cardinal | 10c | 307.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.58 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 77c | 296.48$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.83 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Stanford Cardinal | 13c | 269.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 256.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 12c | 241.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 187$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Stanford Cardinal | 26c | 172.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 130$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 66c | 121$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 113.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Stanford Cardinal | 31c | 103.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 73c | 93.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Stanford Cardinal | 12c | 91.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 63c | 90.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 68c | 72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stanford Cardinal | 32c | 62.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Stanford Cardinal | 43c | 52.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stanford Cardinal | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Stanford Cardinal | 34c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Stanford Cardinal | 32c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Stanford Cardinal | 32c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 76c | 24.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 62c | 19.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 62c | 18.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesthis page
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-3.5)Stanford Cardinal won
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-5.5)Stanford Cardinal won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 145.5Under won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 148.5Under won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.