Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61b47599b523fd007efadf59b5b44bfc72d4760650537a84008eccea0007baf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanford Cardinalof Virginia Tech Hokies, Stanford Cardinal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 56c | 4,054$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Stanford Cardinal | 56c | 1,350$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.15 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal | 52c | 262.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Stanford Cardinal | 53c | 194$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Stanford Cardinal | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Stanford Cardinal | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-3.5)Stanford Cardinal won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech HokiesStanford Cardinal won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 145.5Under won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 148.5Under won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.