College Football · resolved market
O/U 45.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d8568738583d7bed02b6f5aa5dc9b65e9a972892ff36792527b7e169a4bb63e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,280$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.63 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 534.34$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…99dcbacked Over | 60c | 515.16$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 56c | 215$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Under | 58c | 171.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 56c | 167$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 159$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 56c | 148.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 57c | 136$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 56c | 74.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 57.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 58c | 51.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 57c | 40.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 25.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 45.5this page
- Spread: Missouri (-4.5)Virginia won
- Spread: Missouri (-4.5)Virginia won
- Virginia vs. MissouriVirginia won
- Virginia vs. Missouri: 1H MoneylineMissouri won
- Virginia vs. Missouri: O/U 43.5Under won
- Virginia vs. Missouri: O/U 44.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.