Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Central Arkansas Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5dfa59457dd66e70bf664ed7a39d196429b11c68794f9f4dc8f1b26e6de61b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Arkansas Bearsof Eastern Kentucky Colonels, Central Arkansas Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 0c | 37,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 31c | 1,286$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.39 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 73c | 671.64$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.78 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Central Arkansas Bears | 67c | 655.67$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.19 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Central Arkansas Bears | 68c | 520.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.39 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 23c | 517.18$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 455.58$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 76c | 396.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 29c | 381.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 70c | 310.19$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 31c | 296.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 32c | 215$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 76c | 205$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 29c | 164$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 29c | 157$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 108.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 77c | 65.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 33.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Central Arkansas Bearsthis page
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Central Arkansas Bears: O/U 151.5Over won
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Central Arkansas Bears: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-5.5)Central Arkansas Bears won
- Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-6.5)Central Arkansas Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.