Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef342aa28bd7a47f1ef00fa76b3cc93733fee5dc1ef1ccc29f4a507126eb07b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,408$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.4 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 1,010$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.13 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 616.01$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 18c | 515$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 28c | 352.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 8c | 333.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 319$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 34c | 266.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 248.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Yes | 30c | 147$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 130.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 32c | 129$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 24c | 128$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 32c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked No | 75c | 103.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 29c | 91.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 32c | 77.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed No | 70c | 70.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a0…2fdcbacked No | 74c | 66.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked No | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed No | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed No | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed No | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed No | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed No | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked No | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 25.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Gaziantep FK vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.