Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf0f66905cccd7db29824c341cf62a5821c97058a8b7835f41d49b01ffb5b307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 76c | 471.95$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 441.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 343.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 24c | 164$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 68c | 160.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 25c | 133$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 24c | 106$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 41c | 47.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.