Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Buffalo Bulls vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d52b000d72f812b6f199d5116c8285b302caafdb51c5b7d832a652a26fbe68f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffalo Bullsof Buffalo Bulls, Northern Illinois Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 13c | 545.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 28c | 109$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 28c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 27c | 96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 29c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 24c | 70.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Buffalo Bulls | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 28c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Buffalo Bulls | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Buffalo Bulls | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Buffalo Bulls | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Buffalo Bulls | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Buffalo Bulls | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Buffalo Bulls | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Buffalo Bulls | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Buffalo Bulls | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buffalo Bulls vs. Northern Illinois Huskiesthis page
- Buffalo Bulls vs. Northern Illinois Huskies: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.