Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d0b10c07a375c6e47e978f167609a97a1fdf98b3d5e5ac0ca11510723ccbbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Bearcatsof Clemson Tigers, Cincinnati Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 34c | 147$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 56c | 147$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 52c | 117$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 116$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 114$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 56c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Clemson Tigers | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Clemson Tigers | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Clemson Tigers | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Clemson Tigers | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Clemson Tigers | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Clemson Tigers | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Clemson Tigers | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Clemson Tigers | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Clemson Tigers | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Clemson Tigers | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Clemson Tigers | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Clemson Tigers | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Clemson Tigers | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Clemson Tigers | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Clemson Tigers | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Clemson Tigers | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Clemson Tigers | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Clemson Tigers | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Clemson Tigers | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Clemson Tigers | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-5.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati BearcatsClemson Tigers won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 139.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-6.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.