Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e051363a3a14e137726fe10409d5c2b9e8a30891a95f1e39e26c34b46327aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof Clemson Tigers, Cincinnati Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 9c | 5,948$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.03 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 12c | 1,728$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 38c | 1,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.07 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Clemson Tigers | 63c | 850.71$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.07 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 12c | 819.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 33c | 497.04$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 401.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 12c | 329.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 18c | 304.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 5c | 243.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 9c | 213.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 21c | 178.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Clemson Tigers | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 33c | 88.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clemson Tigers | 65c | 73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 23c | 70.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Clemson Tigers | 65c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed Clemson Tigers | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Clemson Tigers | 69c | 46.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 31c | 40.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed Clemson Tigers | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Clemson Tigers | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsthis page
- Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 139.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-5.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-6.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.