Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ef995e17fcd52b51b1438494b81086b95133e4a580fecf8049ccc4e3af5721e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Bearcatsof Clemson Tigers, Cincinnati Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x699c…3600backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 158$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 60c | 119$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 56c | 118$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Clemson Tigers | 48c | 66.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Clemson Tigers | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Clemson Tigers | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 51c | 47.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Clemson Tigers | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Clemson Tigers | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Clemson Tigers | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Clemson Tigers | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Clemson Tigers | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Clemson Tigers | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Clemson Tigers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Clemson Tigers | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Clemson Tigers | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-6.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati BearcatsClemson Tigers won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 139.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-5.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.