Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdf1e0081073f2a4164cea9a502bc96e1c9fd53a21e187d817f8a2b89616970a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Nigma Galaxy, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Aurora | 74c | 2,076$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.38 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,723$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.55 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora | 74c | 1,342$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.92 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,300$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 946.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 779.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Aurora | 70c | 737.43$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.36 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 64c | 583.99$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 545.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 522.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 514.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 426.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Aurora | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 358.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…10a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 332.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Aurora | 79c | 303.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 264.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Aurora | 79c | 229.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Aurora | 79c | 216.92$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 206$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 170$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…7134backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 165.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf91…3041backed Aurora | 80c | 145$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Aurora | 69c | 144.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 138$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 137$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 134$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 127$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Aurora | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 68c | 114.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 114.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 100.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Aurora | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 93.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Aurora | 77c | 91.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 85.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…6431backed Aurora | 74c | 84.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Aurora | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 71.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 70.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…375ebacked Aurora | 73c | 67.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Aurora | 76c | 66.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Aurora | 68c | 54.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 44.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 40.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Aurora | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Aurora | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…d33fbacked Aurora | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Aurora | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Aurora | 78c | 36.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Aurora | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 34.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Aurora | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed Aurora | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Aurora | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Aurora | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Aurora | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…0b79backed Aurora | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Aurora | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Aurora | 79c | 26.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Aurora | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Aurora | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Aurora | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Aurora | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Aurora | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Aurora | 73c | 19.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Aurora | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Aurora | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Aurora | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Aurora | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Aurora | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68bc…ef05backed Aurora | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Aurora | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Aurora | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Aurora | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Aurora | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Aurora | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Aurora | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Aurora | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Aurora | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.