NHL · resolved market
AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Milwaukee Admirals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf82c04cbbeb65360ff69293d20ad632556c655228a05956414bf36f057b630b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Wolvesof Chicago Wolves, Milwaukee Admirals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x581b…0290backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Milwaukee Admirals | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 109$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 107$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Chicago Wolves | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Chicago Wolves | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Chicago Wolves | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Chicago Wolves | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Chicago Wolves | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Chicago Wolves | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Chicago Wolves | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Chicago Wolves | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Chicago Wolves | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Chicago Wolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Chicago Wolves | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.