Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f041e9763bb8216b872bd4e1d383697a527776492bde106b1a0ef51e02dc180
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 7,298$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,784.02 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 6,891$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 33c | 349$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 66c | 323$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 33c | 207$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 33c | 172$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 36c | 171$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 66c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 34c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 31c | 71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 37.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Over | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.