Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dd36787fbf4e93304171a69747bab22d5b4a504ae169b3748c32651aa896adc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 7,118$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,833.28 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 40c | 128$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 59c | 116$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 11c | 110.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 60c | 104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 59c | 104$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 60c | 96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 58c | 84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Under | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Under | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Under | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.