NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a06adb1a74d9b4e142409cae6d4d43efc845e77178ecde4f4ececb2b2b84e5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 39c | 1,209$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 1,120$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.24 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 39c | 916.85$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.43 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 38c | 499.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 40c | 340$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 41c | 139$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 39c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 40c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 59.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…ab6ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 40c | 55.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 62c | 32.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.