La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a6d3702c3c155f5db6ee0947166bef043cac0173f1c7fc21abf452662197de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 23c | 4,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,323$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.65 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,408$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.17 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,110$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.62 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 24c | 840$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 522.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 5c | 299.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 22c | 279.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 22c | 178$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 21c | 171.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 21c | 137$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 21c | 118.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Yes | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 77c | 103.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed Yes | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 21c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked No | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Córdoba CF vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.