Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe44dc14dfa12bd3b7abb697d9a945f6efce1c7416e4e4c820fecaaa30e8508c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 2,121$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.3 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 70c | 1,587$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 70c | 199$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +746.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 143.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 29c | 143$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 30c | 100.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 29c | 93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 54.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed No | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 42.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.