Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e55f6a3992e2cd3220baafe388251a961055466f65890a15ab5f2fcf56c77d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 3,141$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 33c | 1,114$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.56 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,106$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,092$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +1,356.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.42 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 33c | 554$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.18 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 15c | 517.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +746.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 453$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.51 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 9c | 422.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 32c | 308.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 30c | 277$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.9 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 259.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 233$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 15c | 190.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 68c | 141.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 69c | 117$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes | 30c | 116$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 30c | 104$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 30c | 94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 30c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Yes | 31c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked No | 68c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed No | 70c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 42.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked No | 69c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Yes | 32c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked No | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked No | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Yes | 33c | 36.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed No | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 21.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed No | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked No | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.