Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1130b71a6d5df34aca33c9674d9d2280c2f455ad0afeda3893b3cf9e37cdf27e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 9,163$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.35 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.99 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 55c | 1,878$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 56c | 1,803$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.69 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,506$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 45c | 918.76$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.32 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 45c | 804.04$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.22 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 44c | 745.91$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 45c | 454.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 347.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.52 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 45c | 188$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 45c | 181$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 163.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 148.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 45c | 143$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 45c | 121$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 45c | 116$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 55c | 113.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 65c | 107$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 45c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 45c | 73.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 59c | 54.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 45c | 53.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 45c | 32.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…128abacked Under | 54c | 25.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.