TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Clemson Tigers vs. Syracuse Orange

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clemson Tigersof Clemson Tigers, Syracuse Orange
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde6d…0926backed Syracuse Orange17c11,956$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.553834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clemson Tigers65c7,103$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.93,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Syracuse Orange9c2,645$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.052,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Syracuse Orange32c2,569$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.475,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Syracuse Orange47c2,480$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.6961652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Syracuse Orange41c2,181$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.581,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Syracuse Orange32c2,058$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.435,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Clemson Tigers77c1,733$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.331,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Syracuse Orange16c1,499$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.792,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Syracuse Orange1c1,316$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.982,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clemson Tigers53c1,142$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.741,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Clemson Tigers79c941$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6123158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clemson Tigers54c925.56$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.042,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Clemson Tigers50c920$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Clemson Tigers52c904.4$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.1174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Syracuse Orange50c847.16$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.026443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Clemson Tigers74c811.78$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8610757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Clemson Tigers66c728.13$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9973549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Syracuse Orange50c660.05$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.81,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014d…144cbacked Syracuse Orange39c639.37$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Clemson Tigers79c565.5$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7555657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Clemson Tigers67c448.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.213964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Syracuse Orange13c412.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.972,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Syracuse Orange50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20089850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Syracuse Orange29c369.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9832343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Syracuse Orange32c324.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4445644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Clemson Tigers50c310.18$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0949043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Clemson Tigers49c305$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5582048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Syracuse Orange32c291.12$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.564,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Clemson Tigers52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Clemson Tigers65c222.03$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4148051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Syracuse Orange48c220.83$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10652928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers50c215.01$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Syracuse Orange47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Syracuse Orange8c204$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.025942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Syracuse Orange49c203.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.320051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Syracuse Orange11c189.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.734,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Syracuse Orange13c180$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.45735.1%20 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Clemson Tigers51c156$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.235662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Clemson Tigers68c147.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0439144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Clemson Tigers51c146.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0148855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Syracuse Orange47c138.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clemson Tigers73c117.89$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.371,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Syracuse Orange24c105.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.122,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Syracuse Orange48c103.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Syracuse Orange48c101$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.486253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc916…2ee5backed Syracuse Orange13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Clemson Tigers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Syracuse Orange16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1664322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Syracuse Orange47c64.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Syracuse Orange34c60.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5521342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clemson Tigers53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Syracuse Orange50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Clemson Tigers52c40.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4721535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Syracuse Orange33c31.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2611743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Syracuse Orange48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Clemson Tigers52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Clemson Tigers54c27.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.676558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Clemson Tigers62c27.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.423925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Clemson Tigers52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.963450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Clemson Tigers52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.562657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Clemson Tigers68c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5917544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.