Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77447be662033efc36371fed51ce74c72d9f0ccc8905dbb1159f03edf30df1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledo Rocketsof Kent State Golden Flashes, Toledo Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Toledo Rockets | 48c | 1,855$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 1,607$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.52 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 1,563$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.23 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 1,001$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.59 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Toledo Rockets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 504.79$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toledo Rockets | 48c | 502.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Toledo Rockets | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Toledo Rockets | 45c | 454$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.7 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 444.7$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.69 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toledo Rockets | 44c | 438.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toledo Rockets | 49c | 305.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.84 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 121$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Toledo Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 93.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toledo Rockets | 45c | 79.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 43.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Toledo Rockets | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Toledo Rockets | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf300…ca70backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 34.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Toledo Rockets | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Toledo Rockets | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Toledo Rockets | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Toledo Rockets | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Toledo Rockets | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Toledo Rockets | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Toledo Rockets | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Toledo Rockets | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Toledo Rockets | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 22.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Toledo Rockets | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Toledo Rockets | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-5.5)Toledo Rockets won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden FlashesKent State Golden Flashes won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 170.5Over won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 171.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.