Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48367102af7c9633951ff46399c9dc28844fb5bf6ec8cd9ded828c847a0f22e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 71c | 2,957$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.59 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 1,805$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.82 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,172$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 35c | 863.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…0118backed No | 78c | 763.3$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 616.69$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 590.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 284.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 204.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 28c | 183$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 156.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 22c | 123.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Yes | 28c | 107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…4cb8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 21c | 96.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Yes | 28c | 92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 79c | 47.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 25c | 46.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 20.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.