Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd786e9a945750f690cccec404d0f725b3b61994f6d31994905dd000aead86b60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 6,243$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.81 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 3,010$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.36 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 63c | 2,581$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.17 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,362$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae11…b96bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,015$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 893.46$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.09 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 19c | 806.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 570.75$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 23c | 468.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 37c | 459.71$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 11c | 452.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 67c | 280.6$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa831…b3eebacked Yes | 80c | 265.93$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 66c | 189.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 35c | 128$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…4cb8backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Yes | 37c | 94.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 30c | 74.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Yes | 36c | 72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes | 69c | 69.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed Yes | 65c | 66.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 79c | 66.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 51c | 55.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 36c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 65c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed No | 65c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked No | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…f919backed Yes | 77c | 21.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed No | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 63c | 16.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.