Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf175eb8645ae535e4f65fd1034ca7776fc9729b9e025fea0bf3ca0c120c84459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbcab…b842backed Yes | 5c | 1,880$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,576$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.96 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,345$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 862.36$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.33 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 548.76$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 506.2$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.95 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 36c | 444.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 7c | 414$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 65c | 347.29$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 34c | 165.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…eb4cbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 69c | 55.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed No | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked No | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 35c | 36.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked No | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…02a6backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.