Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4182c6b09cfa39b1c08ece7cfc680b8a4ae70beb33e63ed31fc786c3e32f59e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 2,059$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.64 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,394$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 473.49$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 25c | 175$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 24c | 153$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 24c | 126$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 37c | 119.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 36c | 91.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 24c | 87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 73.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Over | 37c | 56.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 40c | 40.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Over | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.