Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ff34a938e46af356ae4355b7cc965043e4c2a136d4c01a5f3bfe9952dafc11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 1,284$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 30c | 902.48$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.78 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 525.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 75c | 352.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 49c | 189$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…5984backed Over | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 17c | 157.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 49c | 153$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 145.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 49c | 138$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Over | 28c | 68.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.