Euroleague · resolved market
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d08955544a12081a5836e61937109d0737b71d8b3b02ed6990ee039499cd761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maccabi Tel Avivof Maccabi Tel Aviv, Zalgiris Kaunas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 79c | 3,150$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.05 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…f8f3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 33c | 2,976$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 2,672$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 12c | 1,851$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 727.5$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 66c | 672.29$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.06 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…baa9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 590.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 555$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 80c | 532.05$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 433.66$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.03 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…2839backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 67c | 367.19$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…deadbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 56c | 212$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 58c | 199.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 75c | 161.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 42c | 155.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 123$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…7714backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 37c | 121.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…fafbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 116.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 105$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…b0f7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 41c | 84.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 56c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…b33abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 58c | 60.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe07…7dd7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 59c | 51.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa854…6e4fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…b4dcbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 66c | 18.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.