NHL · resolved market
DEL: EHC Red Bull Muenchen vs. Adler Mannheim
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e2a99fa214c8d0e913d83819d817f61f29c8fd7bc664eecd2a5c30372aaae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adler Mannheimof EHC Red Bull Muenchen, Adler Mannheim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 52c | 241.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Adler Mannheim | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Adler Mannheim | 46c | 123$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Adler Mannheim | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Adler Mannheim | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Adler Mannheim | 45c | 97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Adler Mannheim | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Adler Mannheim | 44c | 82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Adler Mannheim | 44c | 76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 55c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Adler Mannheim | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Adler Mannheim | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -77%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.