Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Syracuse Orange (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfab0a3b6e13dbae7d48fd23aceef86a1b54559498c7b15a427be6f9f54b93566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northeastern Huskiesof Syracuse Orange, Northeastern Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northeastern Huskies | 46c | 217.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Syracuse Orange | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Northeastern Huskies | 44c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Northeastern Huskies | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Northeastern Huskies | 46c | 111.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Syracuse Orange | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Northeastern Huskies | 43c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Syracuse Orange | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Northeastern Huskies | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Syracuse Orange | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Northeastern Huskies | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Syracuse Orange | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Syracuse Orange | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Syracuse Orange | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Syracuse Orange | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Syracuse Orange | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Syracuse Orange | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Syracuse Orange | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Syracuse Orange (-14.5)this page
- Northeastern Huskies vs. Syracuse OrangeSyracuse Orange won
- Spread: Syracuse Orange (-15.5)Northeastern Huskies won
- Spread: Syracuse Orange (-16.5)Northeastern Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.