Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. UCF Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa338b21f43ccf35f427c9674a0effde074d28cabb7e2358ec498a1ba049b9470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCF Knightsof Arizona State Sun Devils, UCF Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 58c | 3,596$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.55 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights | 69c | 1,384$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.42 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 36c | 1,347$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.43 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked UCF Knights | 12c | 1,000$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.13 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCF Knights | 76c | 949.19$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 73c | 920.91$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.15 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UCF Knights | 44c | 873.34$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.55 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 861.43$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 818.96$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked UCF Knights | 34c | 679.8$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.1 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UCF Knights | 68c | 627.29$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.06 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UCF Knights | 36c | 614.34$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.72 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UCF Knights | 65c | 585.8$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UCF Knights | 59c | 485.08$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.83 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed UCF Knights | 43c | 391$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.71 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed UCF Knights | 56c | 384$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.32 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCF Knights | 61c | 380.77$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 318.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UCF Knights | 53c | 316$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCF Knights | 24c | 314.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 51c | 217.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 31c | 184.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 28c | 179.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed UCF Knights | 40c | 162.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 161.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed UCF Knights | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed UCF Knights | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UCF Knights | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed UCF Knights | 61c | 116.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 24c | 107.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 12c | 105.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UCF Knights | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 24c | 99.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 61c | 98.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 98.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UCF Knights | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 24c | 78.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UCF Knights | 76c | 78.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UCF Knights | 14c | 78.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…5a89backed UCF Knights | 68c | 73.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed UCF Knights | 75c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed UCF Knights | 66c | 60.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 54.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…2a2fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 25c | 48.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed UCF Knights | 58c | 44.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed UCF Knights | 25c | 42.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UCF Knights | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed UCF Knights | 64c | 32.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed UCF Knights | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed UCF Knights | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…4f0fbacked UCF Knights | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…347bbacked UCF Knights | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…0f53backed UCF Knights | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked UCF Knights | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked UCF Knights | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed UCF Knights | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked UCF Knights | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed UCF Knights | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed UCF Knights | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed UCF Knights | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked UCF Knights | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…ae0abacked UCF Knights | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed UCF Knights | 62c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed UCF Knights | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked UCF Knights | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked UCF Knights | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked UCF Knights | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed UCF Knights | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked UCF Knights | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked UCF Knights | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed UCF Knights | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…82edbacked UCF Knights | 76c | 13.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona State Sun Devils vs. UCF Knightsthis page
- Arizona State Sun Devils vs. UCF Knights: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: UCF Knights (-7.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.