Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a2acad7a7c05dfde053a4edf468b1ad9b81e1878551ea32ff8503b7a32ce2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 2,803$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.44 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,802$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.03 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 63c | 1,200$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.99 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 32c | 999$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 26c | 888.3$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 381.64$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 306.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.54 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 66c | 150.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 63c | 145.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 35c | 99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed No | 36c | 88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 63c | 80.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…db15backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 73c | 49.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Yes | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Yes | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Yes | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 64c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Yes | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Yes | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Yes | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.