Asian League · resolved market
Will Daegu FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95288b3e0a3ec6611e141bbcd853e3a886b15ba572ee856256597a7b6cb2587a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 33c | 187$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 32c | 93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 31c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 33c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 32c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed No | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 68c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked No | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed No | 67c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daegu FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Daegu FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.