Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-23.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x327db9b2897a3d0843736a822e01f09dc462b86cb657892e4bd469daab96ad2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Indiana Hoosiers, Siena Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Siena Saints | 58c | 427$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siena Saints | 52c | 156.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Siena Saints | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Siena Saints | 49c | 126$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Siena Saints | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 101.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Siena Saints | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Siena Saints | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Siena Saints | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Siena Saints | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Siena Saints | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Siena Saints | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Siena Saints | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Siena Saints | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Siena Saints | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Siena Saints | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Siena Saints | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Siena Saints | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Indiana Hoosiers | 43c | 39.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Siena Saints | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Siena Saints | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Siena Saints | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-23.5)this page
- Siena Saints vs. Indiana HoosiersIndiana Hoosiers won
- Siena Saints vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 140.5Over won
- Siena Saints vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 141.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-21.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-22.5)Siena Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.