Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc9a8cf9ba3bbb47ba5d1d1e66be8cfef3df46ffd367cda915b5fa627c5e32e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Yes | 55c | 908.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 679.4$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.85 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 400.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 58c | 344.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 339.69$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 70c | 284.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 54c | 164$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 155.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 43c | 149.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed No | 43c | 129.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 57c | 104.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 45c | 51.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 57c | 46.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed No | 42c | 34.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 53c | 33.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes | 58c | 29.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.