Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a1269cc25c887e51009b6dc0c7db30e54d4ce377f94df0e16c5d6c5aa2606c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 44c | 5,999$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.61 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 5,618$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.59 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,157$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.07 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 52c | 540$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Under | 48c | 528.83$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 61c | 450$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 55c | 308.15$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 302.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821e…4e0ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…6ae2backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 172.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 63c | 158.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 42c | 142.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 41c | 140.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Over | 58c | 133$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 113.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Over | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 42c | 78.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 59c | 66.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Over | 58c | 57.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 59c | 42.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 60c | 37.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 34.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aed…40d8backed Over | 59c | 29.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 54c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Under | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Under | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 60c | 26.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 51c | 24.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 52c | 19.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d7b4backed Over | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.