Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1534fb0973944d07d8c56005defff87d06760148b9f28accad99bd2c7597ac3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppersof Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 50c | 340.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 242$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 54c | 216.32$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 51c | 162.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 51c | 134$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 51c | 105.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 51c | 26.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-2.5)this page
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Western Kentucky HilltoppersTulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: O/U 158.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.