Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho State Bengals vs. Northern Colorado Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x938d6932bc0e2c1d742902c90ad046ba778178e194b1e0463524b3905fb81605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Colorado Bearsof Idaho State Bengals, Northern Colorado Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Idaho State Bengals | 1c | 4,877$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Idaho State Bengals | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 4c | 876.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Colorado Bears | 78c | 810$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Idaho State Bengals | 11c | 503$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…7fa1backed Idaho State Bengals | 5c | 317$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Idaho State Bengals | 31c | 250.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Idaho State Bengals | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Northern Colorado Bears | 63c | 133$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Idaho State Bengals | 10c | 130.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Idaho State Bengals | 15c | 129.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 61c | 121$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Idaho State Bengals | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Idaho State Bengals | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Idaho State Bengals | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Idaho State Bengals | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Idaho State Bengals | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 27.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Idaho State Bengals | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 20.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Northern Colorado Bears | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Northern Colorado Bearsthis page
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Northern Colorado Bears: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.