Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5577d24a3131dcdb844eee3d4de8bfc992195db2d39e9271c86e06b09b70a871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Team Nemesis | 6c | 4,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 4,377$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 3,393$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.58 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked MOUZ | 74c | 2,756$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.52 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…ec1ebacked Team Nemesis | 1c | 2,008$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Nemesis | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MOUZ | 75c | 830$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Team Nemesis | 13c | 790.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…bb51backed Team Nemesis | 10c | 550$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 522.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 507.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 467.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 399.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked MOUZ | 75c | 362.83$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 80c | 358.79$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 75c | 336$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked MOUZ | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Nemesis | 12c | 299.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed MOUZ | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked MOUZ | 76c | 262.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…e43ebacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…1938backed MOUZ | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Nemesis | 9c | 230$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked MOUZ | 78c | 223.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d030backed Team Nemesis | 11c | 207.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed MOUZ | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 151.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 144$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked MOUZ | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Team Nemesis | 12c | 129.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed MOUZ | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 113$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked MOUZ | 75c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Team Nemesis | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed MOUZ | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked MOUZ | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 85.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked MOUZ | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…e421backed MOUZ | 75c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked MOUZ | 77c | 66.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 75c | 52.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…6956backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 46.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed MOUZ | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…e506backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 45.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…e9fabacked MOUZ | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4544…6859backed MOUZ | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed MOUZ | 75c | 38.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed MOUZ | 76c | 34.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked MOUZ | 74c | 32.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed MOUZ | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked MOUZ | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…5fbdbacked MOUZ | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb02…1712backed MOUZ | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed MOUZ | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked MOUZ | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed MOUZ | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…382bbacked MOUZ | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked MOUZ | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked MOUZ | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked MOUZ | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed MOUZ | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…99f7backed MOUZ | 75c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130d…d84dbacked MOUZ | 77c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked MOUZ | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed MOUZ | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.