NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. CSKA Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc192fb1b605a3a9a5521c0a4d7d289d239de08a01a4c59945dc8d2de5e6d1d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, CSKA Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked CSKA Moscow | 36c | 422.35$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed CSKA Moscow | 36c | 149$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…ef24backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 116.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed CSKA Moscow | 36c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…a715backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 94.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed CSKA Moscow | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf5…7d72backed CSKA Moscow | 39c | 66.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 62c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed CSKA Moscow | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed CSKA Moscow | 35c | 52.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 61c | 39.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 16.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.