NHL · resolved market
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. HV 71
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc0e8392842370ce35f5813acf1360d3a8341e9c2e97c06d6f424e041c77dbf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Froelunda HCof Froelunda HC, HV 71
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed HV 71 | 20c | 187$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked HV 71 | 18c | 174.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed HV 71 | 20c | 171.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed HV 71 | 20c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed HV 71 | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked HV 71 | 20c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Froelunda HC | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Froelunda HC | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Froelunda HC | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Froelunda HC | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Froelunda HC | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Froelunda HC | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Froelunda HC | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Froelunda HC | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Froelunda HC | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Froelunda HC | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Froelunda HC | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Froelunda HC | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Froelunda HC | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Froelunda HC | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Froelunda HC | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Froelunda HC | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Froelunda HC | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.