NHL · resolved market
DEL: Grizzlys Wolfsburg vs. Loewen Frankfurt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c22bffbb9a5f691efcbdd8daacbb6b7ff67fa3fde0b8c4a1e40bf07a963e66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzlys Wolfsburgof Grizzlys Wolfsburg, Loewen Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58a5…42cbbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 69c | 1,416$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…9b1fbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 31c | 1,126$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…743cbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 31c | 1,123$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…d298backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 69c | 967$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…e4edbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 69c | 892$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…148abacked Loewen Frankfurt | 33c | 772$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…24f9backed Loewen Frankfurt | 31c | 747$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…f1a6backed Loewen Frankfurt | 33c | 697$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…7a48backed Loewen Frankfurt | 31c | 669$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…c67abacked Loewen Frankfurt | 30c | 603$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…9eaebacked Loewen Frankfurt | 33c | 599$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…928cbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 32c | 581$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…0312backed Loewen Frankfurt | 32c | 538$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…ebe9backed Loewen Frankfurt | 33c | 506$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…93d6backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 67c | 448$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 67c | 443.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…44bdbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 67c | 421$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 70c | 409.51$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…c3e0backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 70c | 338$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…1e2ebacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 68c | 324$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…c3c1backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 67c | 324$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…79efbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 67c | 322$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Loewen Frankfurt | 33c | 301.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Loewen Frankfurt | 30c | 291.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…5af0backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 68c | 278$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…4657backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 67c | 278$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…5e64backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 67c | 277$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…f3e3backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 67c | 276$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…106ebacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 70c | 265$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…92f5backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 68c | 260$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…8d30backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 68c | 257$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…e50ebacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 69c | 231$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…98cabacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 67c | 228$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…9da3backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 69c | 159$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300e…dfb3backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 68c | 139$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 34c | 101.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 68c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 33c | 84.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 68c | 84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Loewen Frankfurt | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Loewen Frankfurt | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Loewen Frankfurt | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Loewen Frankfurt | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Loewen Frankfurt | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.