Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6897f45f1ac60ffcb4baf575cc2c5dfc9393c9d8778b4b4a5635fcb594c468e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 63c | 1,838$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.09 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 3c | 1,626$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,277$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.09 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 948.18$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.8 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 908.03$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 71c | 517.66$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.89 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…ac03backed Yes | 77c | 517.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 34c | 249.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 221$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 33c | 154$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…9422backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 145.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 34c | 144.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 122.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 33c | 111$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked No | 67c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 68c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 33c | 56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 67c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 66c | 50.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 67c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 67c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 67c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 55c | 25.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-09?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.