Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d69616f5e4fd327590b5082d7dfe49abefe007a41c4f97bb505d27d770f0253
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 62c | 858$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.04 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 582.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 510$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.6 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 321.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 34c | 273.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 16c | 242$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 7c | 225.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 221.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 72c | 201$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 181.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 28c | 166$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 140.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 28c | 113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed No | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 73c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-09?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-12-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.