Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d0734c6314d66b9cf8dd2a4367f3906382155a48b44b892023ab0d969b650dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 565.97$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 40c | 435.05$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.88 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…8166backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed Over | 45c | 269.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 209.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 65c | 205.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…e610backed Under | 50c | 200.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 199.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…2546backed Under | 50c | 199.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529b…cf37backed Under | 50c | 196.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b4…a2bcbacked Under | 50c | 194.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…5ec9backed Under | 50c | 192.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50db…1d65backed Under | 50c | 192.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…2808backed Under | 50c | 191.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa210…4b7cbacked Under | 50c | 189.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…f3bdbacked Under | 50c | 188.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…d691backed Under | 50c | 188.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0c…49ddbacked Under | 50c | 187.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…4233backed Under | 50c | 185.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…9931backed Under | 50c | 183.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…bae4backed Under | 50c | 181.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…fd3dbacked Under | 50c | 177.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 65c | 134.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 112.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 102.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 45c | 89.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 68.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 30c | 65.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 56c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…bc8cbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 46.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 58c | 43.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 55c | 35.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 43c | 32.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…c8e5backed Over | 39c | 29.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 43c | 25.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 44c | 25.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 46c | 25.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 54c | 22.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 56c | 19.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.