TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff53…24fbbacked Under50c425.8$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x590e…b786backed Under49c423.4$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc403…9198backed Under50c421.89$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a65…88e5backed Under50c421.01$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+125.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f0…eeeabacked Under50c247.45$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b6…e145backed Under50c241.36$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc9…72f3backed Under50c234.35$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f96…5cb2backed Under50c234.32$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d1…553dbacked Under50c228.87$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d31…adbfbacked Under50c227.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc31…4c4abacked Under50c227.41$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7cd…5c16backed Under50c226.33$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f58…7becbacked Under50c225.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0919…6690backed Under50c214.37$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.19450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb14f…6655backed Under50c210.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b06…3ef9backed Under49c209.83$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b40…60dcbacked Under49c205.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d0…ceb7backed Under49c205.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4c…69cbbacked Under50c205.4$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e9…9107backed Under50c204.59$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…e3e1backed Under49c203.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90da…3768backed Under49c203.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf7a…f3d6backed Under49c202.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1cb…9113backed Under50c201.38$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33b2…0cb6backed Under49c201.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad0…2980backed Under49c200.92$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x679f…f9e0backed Under48c200.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1231…9019backed Under49c200.66$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+550.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…f54fbacked Under48c200.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd07f…8302backed Under49c200.35$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bc…40eabacked Under49c200.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fb…6a96backed Under49c199.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04a…5195backed Under50c199.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec2a…ce7fbacked Under48c199.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.69450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1b4…3b3dbacked Under48c199.19$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…39dabacked Under51c199.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0836…3057backed Under48c198.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe07c…71b9backed Under50c198.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc5…f09fbacked Under50c198.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…9becbacked Under49c198.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5baa…15e2backed Under50c198.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b8…8031backed Under49c198.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…0f5bbacked Under51c197.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd2…b38bbacked Under49c197.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ef…e9fbbacked Under48c197.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef7…d991backed Under49c196.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b09…e3d3backed Under50c196.68$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51d4…3f2abacked Under50c196.59$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0b…49f2backed Under50c196.54$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc886…0288backed Under49c196.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce12…e22ebacked Under48c196.38$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd7…834dbacked Under49c196.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c74…b314backed Under48c196.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51b…db7ebacked Under48c196.23$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e84…0004backed Under49c196.17$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db7…251ebacked Under50c196.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefc…347dbacked Under48c196.07$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ce…5893backed Under50c196.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x512c…3ff5backed Under49c195.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486a…1c30backed Under51c195.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6f…9e3cbacked Under50c195.64$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20e…ff0bbacked Under50c195.59$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdb…1d7cbacked Under50c195.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ff…7898backed Under50c195.22$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2611…521ebacked Under48c195.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.69450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176a…37d5backed Under51c194.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453d…d110backed Under50c194.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…4ba4backed Under50c194.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b4…0b41backed Under50c194.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c2f…27afbacked Under49c194.72$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa96…d733backed Under50c194.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x460d…1cedbacked Under50c194.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.13475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+118.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351f…ccb4backed Under51c194.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde23…6f34backed Under48c193.82$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x926b…84a7backed Under49c193.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca45…8af9backed Under49c193.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc526…c973backed Under49c193.51$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b5b…e06bbacked Under48c193.51$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382b…7f14backed Under51c193.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x398e…1cb4backed Under49c193.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa55…9d17backed Under49c192.79$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b3…fda5backed Under51c192.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ab0…0b80backed Under50c191.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+124.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b3…2923backed Under51c191.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa286…591bbacked Under48c191.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d32…2154backed Under50c191.41$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x382c…c5e0backed Under48c191.35$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac2…6908backed Under49c191.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+103.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab82…c156backed Under49c191.15$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d6…6f37backed Under49c191$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f1…d1f6backed Under50c190.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988a…6179backed Under51c190.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa731…600cbacked Under48c190.63$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x678a…abbdbacked Under50c190.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a4e…669dbacked Under50c190.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b1…65bfbacked Under48c190.31$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb7…50b4backed Under48c190.01$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad0…d55cbacked Under49c189.85$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a23…e8a9backed Under48c189.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a8…fea6backed Under49c189.66$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+57.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.