Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05dc6eeca7b9d20596a7b80e0526397d6d7f837c62f95f96f9f69aa4dee33f84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 48c | 37,310$17,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,757.33 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 9,618$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.49 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 9,618$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.49 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 53c | 7,148$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.36 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 49c | 3,977$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 53c | 3,599$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.73 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 3,508$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.64 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 2,698$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 52c | 1,005$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.58 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 945$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 51c | 854$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.69 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 288.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.49 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 256.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 255.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 51c | 195.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 44c | 178.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 153.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 9c | 137.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 53c | 119.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Under | 10c | 110.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.67per pick | 8cpaid | +796.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 46c | 84.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 51c | 66.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 64.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Under | 52c | 51.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 53c | 45.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over | 48c | 39.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 135.5this page
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central EaglesNorth Carolina Central Eagles won
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 133.5Under won
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 134.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks won
- Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-3.5)Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.